UFC 196: Betting Odds and Predictions

Conor McGregor vs Nate Diaz may not be the superfight we were expecting, but it’s certainly among the very exciting matchups we might have hoped to see as MMA fans. UFC 196 won’t only feature McGregor vs Diaz, it will likewise see Holly Holm put her bantamweight title at stake for the very first time when she takes on Miesha Tate.
Conor McGregor (-400) vs Nate Diaz (+300)
We have the featherweight champion taking on the ranked lightweight in a welterweight battle. Yeah, this fight is going to be a little weird.
McGregor makes his initial appearance from the Octagon since dusting Jose Aldo in 13 minutes to win the featherweight title. Since joining the UFC back in 2013, McGregor is 7-0 with half of the victories coming through stoppage.
Much was made of McGregor’s striking style along with the devastating knockout power the Irishman owns. His standup game relies within a vertical posture which allows McGregor to throw his kicks without exerting surplus energy or time. He’s become an expert in using his teammates to make the distance that he can use to start his arsenal of attacks. The swiftness and brutality of these attacks are unparalleled in MMA today.
The largest question mark in this fight is size. McGregor is fighting at 170 pounds for the first time in his career; a leap of 25 lbs in contrast to his final fight, and will be in a reach disadvantage for the first time within the UFC. ‘The Notorious One’ consistently held a distinct advantage in size in the lower weight classes, but Nate is roughly four inches taller and has a two-inch reach advantage.
Diaz owns a fighting style that’s uniquely suited to him along with his brother Nick. He’s a volume fighter and foremost on his toes, meaning that he throws punches in bunches and enjoys to be aggressive. The Stockton-native is great at maintaining his distance, quickly moving into throw a flurry and then return to distance. Diaz pairs his remarkable skills using a phenomenal floor game that has resulted in 11 of the 18 career wins coming via submission.
Despite his strong ground game, Diaz is unable to genuinely utilize it thanks to a poor wrestling game. It seems that Diaz will often attempt to taunt his opponents into a position where they go for the takedown and he can perform his work. Though his striking sport is solid, it is far from ideal as it entails a very simple attack with few unpredictable components.
Can Diaz submit McGregor? Yes. Will he get the opportunity to? Not likely.
This is expected to be a standup affair although Diaz is a capable striker, he does not have the same degree of skills that McGregor does. Conor has good movement abilities, which ought to help him conquer his attain drawback and pick up the win in this one.

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